Recent Publications

This is a list of the most recent research publications by members of the CIPB. Full publication lists can be obtained by visiting the appropriate staff web page.  Open access copies of the publications are available via Durham Research Online. 

2026

Vivyan, N., Lauderdale, B. E., & Hanretty, C. (2026). Idiosyncratic Issue Opinion and Political Choice. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/9780198955245.001.0001

Zhu, P., Wang, Z., Singh, R., & Tan, X. (2026). China’s model of technology leapfrog: A case study of electric vehicle policies and the development of green technology. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 226, Article 116414. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2025.116414

2025

Ali, A. J., Álvarez Calderón, L. Á., Arcain Riccetto, P., del Carpio, P., El Nouchi, E., Fuenzalida, J., Gómez, M., Hein, A., Molina, O., & Williams, M. J. (2025). Balancing speed and coordination: Senior leaders’ perspectives on civil service transformation during and after the pandemic. International Public Management Journal, 28(2), 179-198. https://doi.org/10.1080/10967494.2024.2406430

Antonini, M., Singh, R., Melegaro, A., Ward, J. K., Berardi, C., Attwell, K., Kellner, A., Feiring, E., Hagen, T. P., Genie, M., Murauskienė, L., Mcgregor, N., Sequeira, A. R., Yang, D., & Paolucci, F. (2025). Democracy, Trust, and Political Orientation: Disentangling Mechanisms Shaping Individuals’ Vaccine Attitudes. Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1215/03616878-12166725

Arbatli, E., & Arbatli, C. E. (2025). Proliferation of religious associations and local incumbency advantage: evidence from municipal elections in Turkey. Democratization, 32(4), 963-992. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2024.2428277

Barnfield, M., Phillips, J., Stoeckel, F., Mérola, V., Stöckli, S., Lyons, B., Thompson, J., Szewach, P., & Reifler, J. (2025). Wishful thinking in response to events: Evidence from the 2021 German federal election. Electoral Studies, 95, Article 102940. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102940

Barnfield, M., Phillips, J., Stoeckel, F., Lyons, B., Szewach, P., Thompson, J., Stöckli, S., Mérola, V., & Reifler, J. (2025). The Effects of Forecasts on the Accuracy and Precision of Expectations. Public Opinion Quarterly, 89(1), 185–200. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfaf003

Becker, C. K., Melkonyan, T., Proto, E., Sofianos, A., & Trautmann, S. T. (2025). Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events. Journal of the European Economic Association. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeea/jvaf038

Blackman, A. D., Sasmaz, A., Singh, R., & Williamson, S. (2025). Anti-Americanism and Foreign Aid Preferences Among Political Elites: Evidence from Tunisia. Review of International Organizations. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11558-025-09611-5

Blaxill, L., Cohen, G., Hutchison, G., Kuhn, P. M., & Vivyan, N. (2025). Electoral Violence in England and Wales, 1832–1914. Past & Present, 267(1), 154–210. https://doi.org/10.1093/pastj/gtae017

Caldwell, D., Cohen, G., & Vivyan, N. (2025). Long-Run Trends in Partisan Polarization of Climate Policy-Relevant Attitudes Across Countries. Environmental Politics, 34(5), 767-792. https://doi.org/10.1080/09644016.2024.2403957

Ditonto, T., Andersen, D. J., & Peterson, D. A. (2025). The Gendered Risks of Violating Expectations and the Importance of Information for Women Candidates. Politics & Gender. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1017/s1743923x25100159

Farber, R., Harris, J., Singh, R., Bell, S. E., Friedman, S. R., Jalali, R., Shaffer, J. D., van de Ruit, C., Vijayakumar, G., Walkover, L., Yamin, A., & Zhou, A. (2025). Reimagine Aid, Don’t Destroy It. Studies in Comparative International Development. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12116-025-09475-1

Gallego, O. H., Katharina Lawall, K., McRae, I., & Bulat, A. (2025). THE CHALLENGE OF BEING A POLITICIAN: How local councillors in London experience their role as elected officials. Greater London Authority.

Grigoryan, L., Ponizovskiy, V., Weißflog, M. I., Osin, E., & Lickel, B. (2025). Guilt, shame, and antiwar action in an authoritarian country at war. Political Psychology, 46(1), 167-184. https://doi.org/10.1111/pops.12985

Hammoud-Gallego, O., Foa, R. S., & Romero-Vidal, X. (2025). News Cycles and Satisfaction With Democracy: How the Pandemic Short-Circuited Media Polarization. British Journal of Political Science, 55, Article e49. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123424000395

Lambrecht, M., Sofianos, A., & Xu, Y. (2025). Does mining fuel bubbles? An experimental study on cryptocurrency markets. Management Science, 71(3), 1865-1888. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.01238

Li, Z. (2025). Two Kinds of Dual States: Judicial Empowerment and Disempowerment in Authoritarian Politics. Vanderbilt Journal of Transnational Law, 58(3), 609-660. https://www.transnat.org/post/two-kinds-of-dual-states-judicial-empowerment-and-disempowerment-in-authoritarian-politics

Matsumura, N., Singh, R., Howell, C., Heinrich, T., Motta, M., & Kobayashi, Y. (2025). Assessing WHO’s influence: A randomized conjoint experiment on vaccine endorsements in diversified global health systems. PLOS Global Public Health, 5(11), Article e0005410. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0005410

Mcgovern, P., Thielemann, E., & Hammoud-Gallego, O. (2025). The return of the state: how European governments regulate labour market competition from migrant workers. Comparative Migration Studies, 13, Article 13. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40878-025-00433-3

Meyer-Sahling, J., Schuster, C., & Toth, F. (2025). Civil service politicisation and party patronage in the Western Balkans: a way of life in public administration? In B. G. Peters, C. Knox, F. Panizza, C. Ramos Larraburu, & K. Staroňová (Eds.), Handbook of Politicization and Political Patronage (pp. 278-295). Edward Elgar Publishing. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035326242.00025

Millican, A., Toth, F., & Hamilton, A. (2025). Seeing differently: Making R accessible for visually impaired students through collaborative learning design [Teaching resource]. Case Studies in Pedagogy. National Centre for Research Methods. https://eprints.ncrm.ac.uk/id/eprint/5006/

Štětka, V., Brandao, F., Mihelj, S., Toth, F., Hallin, D., Rothberg, D., Ferracioli, P., & Klimkiewicz, B. (2025). Have people ‘had enough of experts’? The impact of populism and pandemic misinformation on institutional trust in comparative perspective. Information, Communication and Society, 28(6), 1039-1060. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369118x.2024.2413121

Toth, F., Pajnik, M., & Zdravković, L. (2025). From Transition to Authoritarian Populism: Historical Contingencies of Media Instrumentalization in Central and Eastern Europe. Journalism and Mass Communication Quarterly. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1177/10776990251323253

Zeng, J. (2025). KMT-CPC Competition on Chinese National Identity Building: An Analysis of Contents and Discourses of Central Daily News, Xinhua Daily and Liberation Daily Editorials During Chinese Civil War. SAGE Open, 15(2), 21582440251336520. https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440251336520 

Zhao, W. (2025). The Impact of Natural Disasters on the Ongoing Civil War: The Role of Spatial Configuration of Territorial Control. Journal of Conflict Resolution. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251346912 

2024

Andersen, D. (2024). Crowded Out: The Effects of Concurrent Elections on Political Engagement, Candidate Evaluation, and Campaign Learning in the United States. Representation, 60(2), 325-344. https://doi.org/10.1080/00344893.2023.2261450

Chen, B. M., Li, Z., Cai, D., & Ash, E. (2024). Detecting the influence of the Chinese guiding cases: a text reuse approach. Artificial Intelligence and Law, 32, 463-486. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10506-023-09358-7

Çelik, B., Radl, M., Ribac, M., Toth, F., & Turnšek, T. (2024). The Structural and Temporal Curb of Populism: A Cross-Country Analysis of Authoritarian Populist Influences on Journalism. Journalism Studies, 25(16), 1990-2010. https://doi.org/10.1080/1461670x.2024.2407948

Curtis, S., Leach, M., Ardern, K., Beckerman, C., Hunter, P. R., Ruszczyk, H., & Pelling, M. (2024). Health and wellbeing in the face of crises associated with climate or conflict: how can knowledge from the humanities and social sciences help us respond to disasters? Journal of the British Academy, 12(1&2), Article a13. https://doi.org/10.5871/jba/012.a13

Hammoud-Gallego, O. (2024). The short-term effects of visa restrictions on migrants’ legal status and well-being: A difference-in-differences approach on Venezuelan displacement. World Development, 182, Article 106709. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106709

Hammoud Gallego, O., Lawall, K., McRae, I., & Bulat, A. (2024). MIND THE (REPRESENTATION) GAP: How London’s councillors reflect the diversity of its population. Migrant Democracy Project.

Hassell, H. J. G., & Visalvanich, N. (2024). Perceptions of Electability: Candidate (and Voter) Ideology, Race, and Gender. Political Behavior, 46(4), 2075-2098. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-023-09909-3

Kavanagh, M. M., & Singh, R. (2024). Legal Paradigms and the Politics of Global COVID-19 Vaccine Access. In H. Sun & M. Sunder (Eds.), Intellectual Property, COVID-19 and the Next Pandemic: Diagnosing Problems, Developing Cures (pp. 106-132). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009282406.006

Knutsen, C. H., Marquardt, K. L., Seim, B., Coppedge, M., Edgell, A. B., Medzihorsky, J., Pemstein, D., Teorell, J., Gerring, J., & Lindberg, S. I. (2024). Conceptual and Measurement Issues in Assessing Democratic Backsliding. PS: Political Science & Politics, 57(2), 162-177. https://doi.org/10.1017/s104909652300077x

Lambrecht, M., Proto, E., Rustichini, A., & Sofianos, A. (2024). Intelligence Disclosure and Cooperation in Repeated Interactions. American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 16(3), 199-231. https://doi.org/10.1257/mic.20220245

Lohse, J., Rahal, R., Schulte-Mecklenbeck, M., Sofianos, A., & Wollbrant, C. (2024). Investigations of decision processes at the intersection of psychology and economics. Journal of Economic Psychology, 103, Article 102741. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2024.102741

Lyons, B. A., Mérola, V., Reifler, J., Spälti, A. K., Stedtnitz, C., & Stoeckel, F. (2024). When experts matter: Variations in consensus messaging for vaccine and genetically modified organism safety. Public Understanding of Science, 33(2), 210-226. https://doi.org/10.1177/09636625231188594

Medzihorsky, J., & Lindberg, S. I. (2024). Walking the Talk: How to Identify Anti-Pluralist Parties. Party Politics, 30(3), 420-434. https://doi.org/10.1177/13540688231153092

Schnyder, G., Radl, M., Toth, F., Kucukuzun, M., Turnšek, T., Çelik, B., & Pajnik, M. (2024). Theorizing and mapping media ownership networks in authoritarian-populist contexts: a comparative analysis of Austria, Hungary, Slovenia, and Turkey. Media, Culture & Society, 46(1), 38-59. https://doi.org/10.1177/01634437231179366

Štětka, V., Brandao, F., Tóth, F., Mihelj, S., Rothberg, D., Hallin, D., Klimkiewicz, B., & Ferracioli, P. (2024). Beyond Social Media: The Influence of News Consumption, Populism, and Expert Trust on Belief in COVID-19 Misinformation. The International Journal of Press Politics. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1177/19401612241302755

Stoeckel, F., Mérola, V., Thompson, J., Lyons, B., & Reifler, J. (2024). Public perceptions and misperceptions of political authority in the European Union. European Union Politics, 25(1), 42-62. https://doi.org/10.1177/14651165231193833

Umit, R., Michailidou, A., & Trenz, H. (2024). Translating the complexity of EU differentiation: a comparative analysis of news coverage in Germany, Denmark, and the UK. Journal of Contemporary European Studies, 32(4), 1273-1290. https://doi.org/10.1080/14782804.2024.2348161